Am I making progress or running in circles?
You are busy every month. Reviewing numbers, taking actions, running the business. But are the key metrics actually improving, or are you treading water? Here's how to tell.
The short answer
Look at 3-6 month trends, not single months.Any individual month can be noisy. A great month followed by a bad one tells you nothing. But if you plot your key metrics over six months, the trend becomes clear. Are margins expanding? Is the AR balance shrinking? Is revenue growing? If the answer is “roughly the same as six months ago,” you are running in circles.
Why monthly snapshots are misleading without trends
March was a great month. Revenue up 12%, margins healthy, cash reserves solid. But February was terrible, and January was mediocre. If you only look at March, you feel great. If you look at the three-month trend, the picture is different: you are oscillating, not growing.
Running in circles looks like this: one good month, one bad month, one okay month. Revenue bounces between $75K and $95K but never breaks through. Margins fluctuate between 6% and 10% but don't trend upward. The same AR issues keep appearing. The same expense categories keep creeping up.
Progress looks different. The lows are higher than they used to be. The average is clearly moving. Problems that appeared three months ago are resolved, not recurring. You can only see this with trend data.
How to measure real progress vs. motion
Progress measurement requires comparing the same metrics across multiple months. The key indicators to track:
- Revenue trend. Is average monthly revenue over the last 3 months higher than the 3 months before that? A single good month is noise. A rising average is signal.
- Margin trend. Are gross and net margins expanding or compressing? Flat revenue with expanding margins means you are getting more efficient. Growing revenue with shrinking margins means you are buying growth.
- Problem recurrence. Are the same issues showing up month after month? If your AR aging report flags the same clients every time, you have a collections process problem, not a one-time issue.
- Action completion rate trend. Are you completing more of your action items each month? If your follow-through rate was 30% three months ago and is 60% now, that is progress regardless of what the revenue numbers say.
How to track progress trends manually (step by step)
This requires consistent data collection over multiple months:
- 1Create a tracking spreadsheet
Set up a spreadsheet with columns for each key metric: revenue, gross margin %, net margin %, cash reserves (days of runway), AR aging total, and action completion rate. Add a row for each month.
- 2Fill in the current month from your reports
Pull your P&L from QuickBooks or Xero for revenue and margins. Pull the balance sheet for cash. Pull the AR aging report for receivables. Pull your action log for completion rate. Enter all numbers.
- 3Back-fill 3-6 months of historical data
If this is your first time, run the same reports for the last 3-6 months and fill in the rows. This is the most time-consuming step, but you only do it once.
- 4Look for directional trends
For each metric, ask: is the overall direction up, down, or flat? Ignore month-to-month fluctuations and focus on the 3-month moving average. If the average is flat, you are running in circles.
- 5Check for recurring problems
Compare your current issues to the last 3 months. Are the same clients overdue? The same expense categories creeping up? The same pipeline deals stuck? Recurring problems are the clearest sign of running in circles.
Total time: 1-2 hours for the initial setup (back-filling data). About 20 minutes each subsequent month to update the spreadsheet and review trends. Most people build the spreadsheet once and never update it.
Why tracking progress is harder than it sounds
The concept is simple: compare the same numbers over time. The execution is not. You need to pull reports consistently, enter data into a spreadsheet, remember what format you used last month, and actually sit down to analyze trends instead of just reacting to the latest numbers.
Most owners look at each month in isolation. They react to what is in front of them rather than asking whether the direction is changing. That makes it impossible to distinguish between real progress and cyclical noise.
Or see your progress trend automatically every month
Bottomline tracks every key metric month over month and shows you the trend alongside the current number. No spreadsheet. No manual data entry. Just a clear picture of direction:
Bottomline doesn't just tell you where you are this month. It tells you whether you are moving forward. Revenue up but margins flat? It flags that. Same AR issues three months in a row? It calls that out. You get a clear verdict: making progress, treading water, or falling behind.